Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.451529 0.528892 0.613347 0.712108 0.824130 0.946945 1.091468
2025-01-19 0.320828 0.422550 0.544637 0.700663 0.893333 1.121944 1.412054
2025-01-26 0.250094 0.363731 0.511299 0.713932 0.981457 1.318742 1.771698
2025-02-02 0.200916 0.318934 0.483058 0.722600 1.056918 1.499758 2.122031
2025-02-09 0.164313 0.282529 0.457389 0.726714 1.121123 1.666008 2.461347
2025-02-16 0.140424 0.259497 0.445569 0.745979 1.204500 1.860970 2.850201
2025-02-23 0.118987 0.235738 0.428000 0.752440 1.266973 2.028051 3.208428
2025-03-02 0.095924 0.204400 0.392980 0.725839 1.274389 2.112408 3.449343
2025-03-09 0.084691 0.192022 0.387327 0.745167 1.353735 2.308103 3.865587
2025-03-16 0.074066 0.178630 0.377643 0.755740 1.418479 2.483989 4.260471
2025-03-23 0.068681 0.174716 0.384423 0.795221 1.533683 2.745664 4.802242
2025-03-30 0.059040 0.159812 0.368128 0.790677 1.572190 2.884743 5.155968
2025-04-06 0.049875 0.144286 0.348812 0.779068 1.598591 3.007879 5.495506
2025-04-13 0.042431 0.131155 0.332430 0.771093 1.630575 3.142195 5.861135
2025-04-20 0.037912 0.124287 0.328322 0.786857 1.707340 3.357566 6.373478
2025-04-27 0.033571 0.116858 0.321801 0.796696 1.773167 3.557001 6.868173
2025-05-04 0.029486 0.109129 0.313358 0.801298 1.828700 3.740593 7.343815
2025-05-11 0.026828 0.104905 0.312583 0.822275 1.917896 3.989602 7.945410
2025-05-18 0.023781 0.098698 0.305952 0.829308 1.979055 4.189774 8.468884
2025-05-25 0.019579 0.087518 0.284762 0.800402 1.963283 4.244426 8.731934
2025-06-01 0.017927 0.084565 0.284838 0.821409 2.053982 4.505821 9.383677
2025-06-08 0.016107 0.080483 0.281174 0.832898 2.124821 4.732149 9.979879
2025-06-15 0.015480 0.080762 0.289883 0.875781 2.267098 5.104723 10.864206